[WRITER’S NOTE: Before I get started, let me just short-circuit 90 percent of the response to what I am about to say is going to get: No, fivethirtyeight.com was not totally wrong about the presidential election. They said Hillary Clinton was going to win the popular vote, and she did.
If you are an elected Congressman from Alabama, you are good to go in November, according to FiveThirtyEight.
The least likely winner is Congresswoman Martha Roby, who is still expected to brutalize her opponent.
This should surprise absolutely no one. Alabama is still a red state. The only blue district in the state is a gerrymandered mess that includes Birmingham and Montgomery, so Rep. Terri Sewell (D-Birmingham) didn’t even draw an opponent.
The bigger story from fivethirtyeight.com is that their analysis shows two things:
1. Republicans are projected to lose, but it’s not impossible (this is better than the chance they gave Trump)
2. There are far more Solid D (188) seats than Solid R (146) seats, that means more seats for Republicans to defend, and that means less money for each one.
This could be a tough year for Republicans, but all is not lost yet.
@TheDaleJackson is a contributing writer to Yellowhammer News and hosts a conservative talk show from 7-11 am weekdays on WVNN
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