New polling numbers released Sunday by a traditionally-liberal news source may be giving Democrats another reason to worry about the upcoming 2024 presidential election.
According to data from a New York Times/Siena College poll, former President Donald Trump has pulled ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris nationally, 48% to 47%. While the numbers indicate a tight race, they also show a troubling trend for Harris’ campaign.
🇺🇲 National poll by NYT/Siena crosstabs
🟥 Trump: 48%
🟦 Harris: 47%
—
Full Ballot
🟥 Trump: 47%
🟦 Harris: 45%
🟪 Oliver: 2%
🟩 Stein: 1%
——
Crosstabs
• Biden 2020 voters: Harris 92-6%
• Trump 2020 voters: Trump 97-2%
• Did not vote in 2020: Trump 49-40%
—
• Men:… pic.twitter.com/jtPBwxRIBq— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) September 8, 2024
With the election less than two months away, Harris’ polling numbers going into September are significantly lower than the last two Democratic candidates, Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden, at the same point in their campaigns.
In September 2016, Clinton had a 2% higher rating than Harris has currently. In September 2020, Biden was eight points higher than Harris is now.
The same poll shows voters trust Harris more than Trump on abortion (54% to 49%) and democracy (50% to 45%), but trust Trump more on the economy (55% to 42%) and immigration (53% to 43%).
Top issues for likely voters were the economy (21%), abortion (14%), immigration (12%), inflation and the cost of living (7%), and democracy (7%).
The New York Times/Siena College poll sampled 1,695 voters from Sept. 3–6, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.
Austen Shipley is a staff writer for Yellowhammer News. You can follow him on X @ShipleyAusten
