Early 2026 polling shows statewide GOP contests up for grabs

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According to fresh polling, sitting Alabama Attorney General Steve Marshall holds an early lead in the state’s U.S. Senate race while the rest of Alabama’s 2026 statewide races remain up in the air.

The Alabama Poll was recently re-established by Michael Lowry, a former Chief of Staff to U.S. Rep. Robert Aderholt (R-Haleyville).

Between August 24 and August 26, it surveyed 600 Alabama residents likely to vote in the May 2026 Republican primary.

The poll found that Marshall is winning the battle for U.S. Senator Tommy Tuberville’s (R-Auburn) soon-to-be-vacated seat with the support of 37% of respondents.

U.S. Rep. Barry Moore is in second with 16%, while former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson trails with 7%.

Marshall, who has served as Alabama’s attorney general since 2017, has spent over eight years in statewide office and enjoys the advantage of name recognition — just 21% of respondents say they do not know who he is.

Moore, on the other hand, has represented the state in the U.S. House since 2021, but his name recognition is limited outside of south Alabama — 40% of respondents say they don’t know who he is.

Hudson, who ran for sheriff of Jefferson County in 2022 but has never held office, has a lot of ground to make up on the name recognition front — 62% of respondents say they don’t know who he is.

Thus, Moore will have to spend more time and money establishing himself with voters than Marshall will. 40% of poll respondents remain undecided, and Moore will accumulate supporters as his name recognition grows, but the Congressman faces an uphill battle.

Marshall is a popular incumbent, enjoying a favorability ratio of 47% to 14%. He sports a ratio of 33% to 18% in the Mobile media market — Moore’s home base. 

To shake up the race, Moore will attempt to score the backing of Donald Trump, as will Marshall. It is currently unclear whether the president plans to choose sides, but his endorsement would almost certainly be decisive, as 88% of respondents approve of the commander-in-chief.

Moore proudly claims  to be the first elected official to have endorsed Trump, having spoken at his 2015 Mobile rally as a State Rep., and is a member of the House Freedom Caucus, widely regarded as the chamber’s most conservative bloc.

Marshall is a leading legal figure in the American conservative movement. He fought a wide range of Biden-era policies in court, saying that “any day” he can sue Joe Biden “is a good day.”

In the race for lieutenant governor, sitting Alabama secretary of state Wes Allen leads sitting Alabama Commissioner of Agriculture Rick Pate 28% to 12%, but 61% of voters say they’re still undecided.

Allen represented HD89 from 2018 to 2022 prior to becoming secretary of state, while Pate was the mayor of Lowndesboro for 15 years before being elected to his current position in 2019.

Jay Mitchell holds a 13% to 7% lead over Pamela Casey in the battle for Attorney General, with Katherine Robertson trailing at 6%.

Mitchell, a former justice of the Alabama Supreme Court, is the frontrunner, while Casey, District Attorney of Blount County, and Robertson, former chief counsel for the Alabama Attorney General’s Office, have a lot of ground to cover to catch up. 

Despite a slow start in the polls, Robertson has Marshall’s endorsement.

According to campaign finance reports filed with the Alabama Secretary of State’s Campaign Finance Division, she received a $1 million donation in June, the largest single contribution ever reported in a statewide race.

Mitchell, the race’s fundraising leader with nearly $2 million on hand, has criticized Robertson for taking out-of-state “dark money” contributions — her summer windfall came from the Nashville-based First Principles Action Inc., a group with no donor list.

Current state auditor Andrew Sorrell and Caroleene Dobson, the Republican nominee for Congress during last year’s AL-2 election, are competing to replace Allen as Alabama’s Secretary of State.

Sorrell, who represented HD3 from 2018 until 2022, holds a slight advantage, with 20% of respondents pledging him their support. At 16%, Dobson is close behind him. 64% of voters remain undecided.

The candidates poll nearly identically in favorability and name recognition, but Dobson has a fundraising advantage with $647,266.76 on hand compared to her opponent’s $301,872.75.

The race for agriculture commissioner has the highest percentage of undecided voters, with 77%.

Three contenders lead the way: State Sen. Jack Williams (R-Wilmer), businesswoman and farmer Christina Woerner McInnis, and Douglas Mayor Corey Hill. Williams, who has served in the state legislature since 2014, leads the polls at 10%, while McInnis sits at 7% and Hill sits at 6%.

With $505,467.31 on hand, Williams has the most available campaign funds. McInnis has $448,153.31, and Hill has $122,096.71.

Charles Vaughan is a contributing writer for Yellowhammer News.