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Poll: Greer holds commanding lead over potential Democrat challenger in HD2

Alabama House of Representatives
Alabama House of Representatives

State Rep. Lynn Greer, R-Rogersville, who was first elected to the Alabama legislature in 1974, announced in mid-December that he would be seeking another term in 2014.

Since then, former Lauderdale County District Court judge Deborah Bell Paseur has indicated that she’s weighing the possibility of running against Greer as a Democrat. Unfortunately for Paseur, a polling memo obtained by Yellowhammer News over the weekend shows that she would have a very difficult time unseating the popular incumbent.

The survey, which was conducted by nationally known public opinion research firm McLaughlin & Associates, shows Greer leading Paseur by 13 points in a head-to-head race, 49% to 36%, with 15% undecided. Among voters who have a firm opinion of both candidates, Greer’s lead goes up to 15 points, 55% to 40%.

Rep. Lynn Greer, R-Rogersville
Rep. Lynn Greer, R-Rogersville

“This is important, as the most informed voters are gravitating towards Greer,” pollster Jim McLaughlin wrote in the memo.

Alabama House District 2 is solidly Republican, but Independents are also breaking hard for Greer, 51% to 31%, with 18% undecided.

With both Republicans and Independents firmly in Greer’s camp, it’s tough to see Paseur gaining significant traction in the race.

“I am proud of the progress we have made in the legislature over the last four years,” Greer said. “Alabama is leading the region in job creation, we have cut wasteful spending, passed new ethics laws and invested millions of dollars in new roads. We need to continue this progress over the next four years and we have to keep conservative leadership in Montgomery to make that happen.”

The table containing Greer’s head-to-head numbers again Paseur can be seen below. (Click to enlarge)

numbers

The McLaughlin survey polled 300 likely general election voters in Alabama’s 2nd State House District. It has an accuracy of +/- 5.7% at a 95% confidence interval.


Follow Cliff on Twitter @Cliff_Sims

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